VaR ANALYSIS FOR THE FINANCIAL RISK IDENTIFICATION OBJECTIVE

Authors

  • Branislav Obradović High School of Management and Economics in Kragujevac Author
  • Bernardo Aureo Ministry of Defense, Republic of Angola, Luanda Author
  • Miloš Miljković Serbian Army, Kruševac Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5937/Oditor1803041O

Keywords:

VaR, financial analysis, financial risks, market risks, interest rates risks

Abstract

Business decision-making in today’s highly turbulent environment takes place under conditions of uncertainity and risk. Due to changes in the economy and finances, there are various risks that, in some cases, management can not be affected because the efiiciency and future of the business of companies and which can be controlled and managed to satisfy owners, management, employees and other stakeholders. This paper explains VaR analysis as a method for modern risk management as well as pointing out its shortcomings.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Adcock, C.J., Meade, N. (2017) Using parametric classification trees for model selection with applications to financial risk management, European Journal of Operational Research, 259(2), pp. 746-765

Berminga, S. Czaczkes, B. 2000. Financial Modeling, 2nd ed.Cambridge, London: The MIT Press.

Chang, C.L., McAleer,M. (2015) Econometric analysis of financial derivatives: An overview, Journal of Econometrics, 187(2), pp. 403-407

Chen, H., Chow, K., Tillmann, P. (2017) The effectiveness of monetary policy in China: Evidence from a Qual VAR, China Economic Review, vol. 43, pp. 216-231

Damnjanović, R., & Mihajlović, M. (2014). Mogućnosti korišćenja metoda višekriterijumske optimizacije prilikom raspodele finansijskih sredstava u sistemu odbrane. Ekonomika, 60(1), 148-157.

Jakopin, E. 2018. Privredni rast I institucionalna tranzicija Republike Srbije, Ekonomski horiznoti, vol. 20, br. 2, str. 95-108.

Jeremić, Z., Terzić, I., Milojević, M. 2016. Procena I validacija VaR modela na tržištu kapitala u Srbiji u period od 2005. do 2015. godine, Bankarstvo, vol. 45, br. 1, str. 14-41.

Jorion, P. 2007. Financial risk manager handbook, 4 th ed. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.

Kožul, N. 2017. Tržišna cena rizika, Bankarstvo, vol. 46, br. 1, str. 58-67.

Mihajlović, D., Stanković, S., Nikolić, M. 2015. Analiza finansijske ravnoteže kao osnove upravljanja kompanijom, Ekonomika, vol. 61, br. 1, str. 141-149.

Mihajlović, M., Krstić, S., Šegrt, S., Pavlović, D., Jovanović, D., & Simeunović, T. (2016). Ekonomska analiza uticaja koncentracije tržišta mleka na efikasnost nabavki u sistemu odbrane. Ekonomika poljoprivrede, 63(3), 973-985.

Petrović, P. 2006. Okragli sto: Ciljanje inflacije, apresijacija dinara i spoljna neravnoteža: 2006. i izgledi za 2007, 2006. http://www.fren.org.rs/index

Račić, Ž., Ercegovac, D. 2017. Primena VaR metodologije na primeru upravljanja valutnim rizikom, Škola biznisa, br. 2, str. 179-188.

Shapiro C. A. 1992. Multinationalfinancial management, 6th. ed. NY, John Wiley & Sons.

Silva, W., Kimura, H., Sobreiro, V.A. (2017) An analysis of the literature on systemic financial risk: A survey, Journal of Financial Stability, vol. 28, pp. 91-114

Stojanović, D. 2017. Digitalna ekonomija I transformacija poslovnih procesa – izazovi I rizici, Ekonomija: teorija I praksa, vol. 10, br. 1, str. 80-90.

Tabaković, J. 2018. Rešavanje problema kredita u Srbiji – stabilnost kao uslov, Ekonomika preduzeća, vol. 66, br. 1-2, str. 91-105.

Tadić, A. 2018. Rizik likvidnosti, Oditor – časopis za Menadžment, finansije I pravo, vol. 4, br. 1, str. 139-152.

Tasić, N., Zdravković, M. 2008. Osetljivost srpskog izvoza i uvoza na promene deviznog kursa u dugom roku, http://www.nbs.rs.pdf

Trpčevski, M. 2015. Kamatni rizik ulaganja u obveznice – nekonvencionalne metode merenja, Bankarstvo, vol. 44, br. 2, str. 104- 117.

Von Gerich, J-M., Karjalainen, J. 2006. Interest Rate Risk Managementin Large Finnish Non-financial Companies, www.lta.hse.fi_2006_02_al.pdf

White, H, Kim, T.H., Manganelli, S. (2015) VAR for VaR: Measuring tail dependence using multivariate regression quantiles, Journal of Econometrics, 187(1), pp. 169-188

Žižić, M., Lovrić, M., Pavličić D. 2005. Metodi statističke analize, Centar za izdavačku delatnost Ekonomskog fakulteta, Beograd.

Downloads

Published

2018-12-31

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Obradović, B., Aureo, B., & Miljković, M. (2018). VaR ANALYSIS FOR THE FINANCIAL RISK IDENTIFICATION OBJECTIVE. Oditor, 4(3), 41-61. https://doi.org/10.5937/Oditor1803041O

Similar Articles

1-10 of 163

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.