RAZVOJ TRGOVINE IZMEĐU NR KINE I CIE : ANALIZA UTICAJA INICIJATIVE „16+1“

Elena Jovičić; Jelena Minović; Dejana Pavlović; Duško Bodroža

doi:10.59864/Oditor72403EJ

Autori

Elena Jovičić Institut ekonomskih nauka, Beograd, Srbija Author https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8356-9678
Jelena Minović Institut ekonomskih nauka, Beograd, Srbija Author https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6254-4888
Dejana Pavlović Institut ekonomskih nauka, Beograd, Srbija Author https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5090-302X
Duško Bodroža Institut ekonomskih nauka, Beograd, Srbija Author https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6219-1338

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59864/Oditor72403EJ

Ključne reči:

CIE, NR Kina, inicijativa „16+1“, trgovina, gravitacioni model

Apstrakt

Glavni cilj rada je da se analizira razvoj trgovinskih odnose između Kine i 16 zemalja Centralne i Istočne Evrope (CIE) u periodu 2000-2022. Naime, uz primenu gravitacionog modela, ispituju se faktori koji su direktno doprineli povećanju trgovinske razmene, uz poseban osvrt na analizu uticaja učešća zemalja CIE u formatu „16+1“. Empirijski rezultati pokazuju da ekonomski rast u NRK i CIE, uključujući članstvo zemalja CIE u EU, su imali pozitivan i značajan uticaj na razvoj bilateralne trgovine između NR Kine i CIE, a to u svim slučajevima – kada su ukupna trgovina (TT), ali takođe uvoz zemalja CIE iz NR Kine (IM), kao i izvoz zemalja CIE u Kine (EX) posmatrane kao zavisne promenljive. Učešće u formatu „16+1“ je doprinelo povećanju trgovine samo u slučaju kada je izvoz CIE u NR Kinu zavisna promenljiva, ali, u poređenju sa članstvom u EU, se ipak pokazalo kao manje značajno.

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