DINAMIKA DISPERSIJE DOHOTKA U EVROPSKOJ UNIJI NAKON GLOBALNE FINANSIJSKE KRIZE
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.59864/Oditor52601DSKljučne reči:
disperzija dohotka, sigma-konvergencija, Evropska unija, ekonomski rast, globalna finansijska krizaApstrakt
Ova studija ispituje dinamiku disperzije dohotka među državama članicama Evropske unije tokom postkrizne decenije. Fokusirajući se na period od 2010. do 2019. godine, analiza istražuje da li su se razlike u dohotku među ekonomijama EU smanjile nakon globalne finansijske krize. Korišćenjem godišnjih podataka za 27 država članica EU, procenjuje se sigma-konvergencija praćenjem kretanja međusobne disperzije realnog BDP-a po glavi stanovnika. Rezultati ukazuju na statistički značajno smanjenje disperzije dohotka tokom posmatranog perioda, što sugeriše prisustvo sigma-konvergencije. Međutim, dodatne panel procene ne pružaju dokaze o uslovnoj beta-konvergenciji nakon uključivanja strukturnih kontrolnih varijabli. Ovi nalazi ukazuju da uočeno smanjenje disperzije može odražavati šire mehanizme makroekonomskog prilagođavanja, a ne sistematski proces sustizanja zemalja sa nižim nivoom dohotka. Rezultati doprinose literaturi o evropskim integracijama isticanjem razlike između dinamike disperzije i konvergencije zasnovane na ekonomskom rastu u postkriznom okruženju.
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